Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.146579 0.171602 0.199128 0.231589 0.268752 0.309899 0.358836
2025-12-14 0.099918 0.132214 0.171704 0.223226 0.288317 0.367430 0.470436
2025-12-21 0.075317 0.109396 0.154517 0.217946 0.304007 0.415785 0.570847
2025-12-28 0.062088 0.097405 0.147310 0.221824 0.328830 0.475242 0.688592
2026-01-04 0.053600 0.089935 0.144257 0.229654 0.358315 0.542192 0.821272
2026-01-11 0.046373 0.082776 0.140077 0.234453 0.382881 0.603356 0.950186
2026-01-18 0.040084 0.075848 0.134923 0.236515 0.402716 0.658423 1.073913
2026-01-25 0.034653 0.069325 0.129276 0.236643 0.418862 0.708468 1.193239
2026-02-01 0.029711 0.062757 0.122484 0.233705 0.429187 0.749571 1.301065
2026-02-08 0.025489 0.056765 0.115767 0.229824 0.437086 0.786792 1.404785
2026-02-15 0.021361 0.050196 0.106997 0.220991 0.435105 0.806876 1.481020
2026-02-22 0.020204 0.049562 0.109415 0.233137 0.471633 0.895093 1.678470
2026-03-01 0.017159 0.044374 0.102234 0.226196 0.472734 0.922335 1.774117
2026-03-08 0.014528 0.039626 0.095280 0.218846 0.472301 0.946819 1.866984
2026-03-15 0.012480 0.035844 0.089795 0.213732 0.475504 0.977888 1.973612
2026-03-22 0.011353 0.034127 0.088615 0.217548 0.496856 1.044433 2.150213
2026-03-29 0.010602 0.033239 0.089197 0.225243 0.526817 1.129542 2.367374
2026-04-05 0.009746 0.031900 0.088508 0.229959 0.550848 1.204662 2.570167
2026-04-12 0.008838 0.030228 0.086762 0.231985 0.569179 1.269591 2.757122
2026-04-19 0.007942 0.028405 0.084353 0.232111 0.583221 1.326620 2.931786
2026-04-26 0.007020 0.026298 0.080890 0.229223 0.590130 1.369262 3.080015
2026-05-03 0.006176 0.024244 0.077247 0.225410 0.594467 1.406654 3.219672
2026-05-10 0.005265 0.021748 0.071978 0.216730 0.586429 1.416790 3.303019